UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · Bantamweight
S.
Sean O'Malley
19-3-0
VS
A.
Aiemann Zahabi
14-2-0
Start
8:00 PM ET
Jun 14, 2026
Venue
South Lawn of the White House
Washington, DC
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
A. 50.0%
S. 50.0%
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S. O'Malley vs A. Zahabi UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · Bantamweight, 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes A. Zahabi the favorite at 50.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Sean O'Malley meets Aiemann Zahabi in a UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · Bantamweight bout at South Lawn of the White House, Washington, DC. The contest gets underway at 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives A. a 50.0% win probability and S. a 50.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Aiemann Zahabi can win: A. Zahabi carries a 14-2-0 record into this fight.

Why Sean O'Malley can win: S. O'Malley enters at 19-3-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Aiemann Zahabi the slim model favorite at 50.0% win probability. S. O'Malley are given a 50.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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