Paraguay vs Türkiye — FIFA World Cup 2026, 11:00 PM ET on FS1 / Tele / FOX One. Our model makes Türkiye the favorite at 55.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Paraguay (0-0-1) faces Türkiye (0-0-1) in a FIFA World Cup 2026 match at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California. Kickoff starts at 11:00 PM ET on FS1 / Tele / FOX One. Our model gives TUR a 55.0% win probability and PAR a 45.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. This looks like a tight contest on paper.
Why Türkiye can win: Türkiye have home-match advantage and the support of their crowd.
Why Paraguay can win (or draw): Paraguay can be dangerous opponents regardless of form. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Türkiye the slim favorite at 55.0% win probability (draw not modeled). Paraguay are given a 45.0% chance. Low confidence — the match looks very open. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.
