Aflac Kickoff
Start
3:30 PM ET
Sep 5, 2026
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta, GA
Broadcast
ABC
Win probability
AUB 70.5%
BAY 29.5%
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Baylor at Auburn Aflac Kickoff, 3:30 PM ET on ABC. Our model makes Auburn the favorite at 70.5%, leaning on betting market. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 28, 6:27 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Betting line: AUB -7 · O/U 59.5
Matchup analysis

Baylor Bears (0-0) travel to face Auburn Tigers (0-0) in a Aflac Kickoff game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA. AUB starts at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. Our model gives AUB a 70.5% chance to win and BAY a 29.5% chance. The model sees a clear edge here, though upsets always happen in sports.

Why Auburn Tigers can win: Auburn have home advantage on their side. Sportsbook moneylines (-278 / +225) imply 71% for AUB, giving them a statistical edge. Home teams hold a proven edge in football.

Why Baylor Bears can win: Baylor bring competitive motivation as the road team.

Betting context: Sportsbook moneylines (-278 / +225) imply 71% for AUB. The current point spread is AUB -7. Betting market information is provided for context only — this is not betting advice. Always wager responsibly and only where legal..

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Auburn Tigers the clear favorite with a 70.5% win probability. Baylor are given a 29.5% chance to pull the upset. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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