NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Montreal Canadiens logo
Montreal Canadiens
Start
7:00 PM ET
Sep 19, 2026
Venue
Bell Centre
Montreal, QC
Broadcast
Win probability
MTL 55.0%
TOR 45.0%
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Maple Leafs at Canadiens NHL, 7:00 PM ET on . Our model makes Canadiens the favorite at 55.0%, leaning on home advantage. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs travel to face Montreal Canadiens in a NHL game at Bell Centre, Montreal, QC. Season record data is not yet available for this matchup, so the model leans on venue, market line, and baseline team strength. MTL drops the puck at 7:00 PM ET on —. Our model gives MTL a 55.0% chance to win and TOR a 45.0% chance. This is a toss-up — neither side holds a meaningful edge.

Why Montreal Canadiens can win: Canadiens have home advantage on their side. Home teams win roughly 55% of NHL games.

Why Toronto Maple Leafs can win: Maple Leafs bring competitive motivation as the road team.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Montreal Canadiens the slim favorite with a 55.0% win probability. Maple Leafs are given a 45.0% chance to pull the upset. Low confidence — this projects close and either team could win. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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