Aces at Sky — WNBA, 1:00 PM ET on CBS / Paramount+. Our model makes Aces the favorite at 59.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Last updated Jul 28, 1:07 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.
Las Vegas Aces (18-8) travel to face Chicago Sky (9-18) in a WNBA game at Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL. CHI starts at 1:00 PM ET on CBS / Paramount+. Our model gives CHI a 41.0% chance to win and LV a 59.0% chance. The edge is real but slim; an upset is well within range.
Why Chicago Sky can win: Despite a 9-18 record, Sky retain the home-court edge. Home teams win roughly 58% of games in basketball.
Why Las Vegas Aces can win: Aces are one of the better teams in the league this season at 18-8. The model notes: chi 9-18 vs lv 18-8. Aces hold a 2–0 head-to-head advantage in recent matchups.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Las Vegas Aces the moderate favorite with a 59.0% win probability. Sky are given a 41.0% chance to pull the upset. The model has medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a certainty. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.
