WNBA
Start
1:00 PM ET
Aug 2, 2026
Venue
Target Center
Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast
ABC
Win probability
MIN 61.0%
IND 39.0%
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Fever at Lynx WNBA, 1:00 PM ET on ABC. Our model makes Lynx the favorite at 61.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 28, 1:07 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
MININD
993REB915
603AST560
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Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Indiana Fever (17-10) travel to face Minnesota Lynx (22-6) in a WNBA game at Target Center, Minneapolis, MN. MIN starts at 1:00 PM ET on ABC. Our model gives MIN a 61.0% chance to win and IND a 39.0% chance. The edge is real but slim; an upset is well within range.

Why Minnesota Lynx can win: Lynx enter with one of the better records in their division at 22-6. MIN 22-6 vs IND 17-10, giving them a statistical edge. Home teams win roughly 58% of games in basketball.

Why Indiana Fever can win: Fever are one of the better teams in the league this season at 17-10.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Minnesota Lynx the moderate favorite with a 61.0% win probability. Fever are given a 39.0% chance to pull the upset. The model has medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a certainty. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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