WNBA
Start
7:30 PM ET
Jul 8, 2026
Venue
Mohegan Sun Arena
Uncasville, CT
Broadcast
USA Net
Win probability
CON 32.0%
MIN 68.0%
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Lynx at Sun WNBA, 7:30 PM ET on USA Net. Our model makes Lynx the favorite at 68.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 1, 7:21 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
CONMIN
640REB703
357AST405
1314FGA1341
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Minnesota Lynx (15-4) travel to face Connecticut Sun (4-15) in a WNBA game at Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT. CON starts at 7:30 PM ET on USA Net. Our model gives CON a 32.0% chance to win and MIN a 68.0% chance. The model sees a clear edge here, though upsets always happen in sports.

Why Connecticut Sun can win: Despite a 4-15 record, Sun retain the home-court edge. Home teams win roughly 58% of games in basketball.

Why Minnesota Lynx can win: Lynx are one of the better teams in the league this season at 15-4. The model notes: con 4-15 vs min 15-4.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Minnesota Lynx the clear favorite with a 68.0% win probability. Sun are given a 32.0% chance to pull the upset. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.