Sun at Lynx — WNBA, 8:00 PM ET on WNBA League Pass / NBC Sports BO. Our model makes Lynx the favorite at 78.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Last updated Jul 1, 7:20 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.
Connecticut Sun (4-15) travel to face Minnesota Lynx (15-4) in a WNBA game at Target Center, Minneapolis, MN. MIN starts at 8:00 PM ET on WNBA League Pass / NBC Sports BO. Our model gives MIN a 78.0% chance to win and CON a 22.0% chance. The model sees a clear edge here, though upsets always happen in sports.
Why Minnesota Lynx can win: Lynx enter with one of the better records in their division at 15-4. MIN 15-4 vs CON 4-15, giving them a statistical edge. Home teams win roughly 58% of games in basketball.
Why Connecticut Sun can win: Sun are 4-15 this season but road games can serve as equalizers.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Minnesota Lynx the clear favorite with a 78.0% win probability. Sun are given a 22.0% chance to pull the upset. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.