WNBA
Start
7:00 PM ET
Aug 2, 2026
Venue
College Park Center
Arlington, TX
Broadcast
ESPN / Disney+
Win probability
DAL 71.0%
CON 29.0%
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Sun at Wings WNBA, 7:00 PM ET on ESPN / Disney+. Our model makes Wings the favorite at 71.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 28, 1:06 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
DALCON
919REB893
608AST519
1960FGA1840
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Connecticut Sun (7-20) travel to face Dallas Wings (18-9) in a WNBA game at College Park Center, Arlington, TX. DAL starts at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN / Disney+. Our model gives DAL a 71.0% chance to win and CON a 29.0% chance. The model sees a clear edge here, though upsets always happen in sports.

Why Dallas Wings can win: Wings enter with one of the better records in their division at 18-9. DAL 18-9 vs CON 7-20, giving them a statistical edge. Home teams win roughly 58% of games in basketball. Wings also lead the head-to-head series 1–0 in recent meetings.

Why Connecticut Sun can win: Sun are 7-20 this season but road games can serve as equalizers.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Dallas Wings the clear favorite with a 71.0% win probability. Sun are given a 29.0% chance to pull the upset. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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