WNBA
Dallas Wings logo
Dallas Wings
11-6
VS
Las Vegas Aces logo
Las Vegas Aces
12-5
Start
10:00 PM ET
Jun 25, 2026
Venue
Michelob ULTRA Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
NBA TV
Win probability
LV 57.0%
DAL 43.0%
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Wings at Aces WNBA, 10:00 PM ET on NBA TV. Our model makes Aces the favorite at 57.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
LVDAL
603REB578
396AST393
1177FGA1231
Key storylines
Betting line: LV -5.5 · O/U 178.5
Matchup analysis

Dallas Wings (11-6) travel to face Las Vegas Aces (12-5) in a WNBA game at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV. LV starts at 10:00 PM ET on NBA TV. Our model gives LV a 57.0% chance to win and DAL a 43.0% chance. The edge is real but slim; an upset is well within range.

Why Las Vegas Aces can win: Aces enter with one of the better records in their division at 12-5. LV 12-5 vs DAL 11-6, giving them a statistical edge. Home teams win roughly 58% of games in basketball.

Why Dallas Wings can win: Wings are one of the better teams in the league this season at 11-6. Wings hold a 3–0 head-to-head advantage in recent matchups.

Betting context: The current point spread is LV -5.5. Betting market information is provided for context only — this is not betting advice. Always wager responsibly and only where legal..

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Las Vegas Aces the moderate favorite with a 57.0% win probability. Wings are given a 43.0% chance to pull the upset. The model has medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a lock. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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