UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Flyweight
A.
Andre Lima
11-0-0
VS
K.
Kevin Borjas
10-5-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jun 20, 2026
Venue
Meta APEX
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
K. 37.0%
A. 63.0%
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A. Lima vs K. Borjas UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Flyweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes A. Lima the favorite at 63.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Andre Lima meets Kevin Borjas in a UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Flyweight bout at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives K. a 37.0% win probability and A. a 63.0% chance. The model sees a slight edge, but MMA is volatile and upsets are frequent.

Why Kevin Borjas can win: K. Borjas carries a 10-5-0 record into this fight.

Why Andre Lima can win: A. Lima enters at 11-0-0. The model notes: k. 10-5-0 vs a. 11-0-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Andre Lima the moderate model favorite at 63.0% win probability. K. Borjas are given a 37.0% chance. Medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a certainty. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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