UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Welterweight
L.
Levan Chokheli
14-3-0
VS
L.
Leon Shahbazyan
12-4-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jun 20, 2026
Venue
Meta APEX
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
L. 47.0%
L. 53.0%
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L. Chokheli vs L. Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Welterweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes L. Chokheli the favorite at 53.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Levan Chokheli meets Leon Shahbazyan in a UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Welterweight bout at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives L. a 47.0% win probability and L. a 53.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Leon Shahbazyan can win: L. Shahbazyan carries a 12-4-0 record into this fight.

Why Levan Chokheli can win: L. Chokheli enters at 14-3-0. The model notes: l. 12-4-0 vs l. 14-3-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Levan Chokheli the slim model favorite at 53.0% win probability. L. Shahbazyan are given a 47.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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