UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Featherweight
S.
Shane Collins
7-0-0
VS
O.
Otari Tanzilovi
10-1-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jun 20, 2026
Venue
Meta APEX
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
O. 46.0%
S. 54.0%
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S. Collins vs O. Tanzilovi UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Featherweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes S. Collins the favorite at 54.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Shane Collins meets Otari Tanzilovi in a UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Featherweight bout at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives O. a 46.0% win probability and S. a 54.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Otari Tanzilovi can win: O. Tanzilovi carries a 10-1-0 record into this fight.

Why Shane Collins can win: S. Collins enters at 7-0-0. The model notes: o. 10-1-0 vs s. 7-0-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Shane Collins the slim model favorite at 54.0% win probability. O. Tanzilovi are given a 46.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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