Ghana vs Colombia — FIFA World Cup 2026, 9:30 PM ET on FOX / Tele / FOX One. Our model makes Colombia the favorite at 55.0%, leaning on home advantage. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Last updated Jul 3, 5:22 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.
Ghana faces Colombia in a FIFA World Cup 2026 match at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri. Kickoff starts at 9:30 PM ET on FOX / Tele / FOX One. Our model gives COL a 55.0% win probability and GHA a 45.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. This looks like a tight contest on paper.
Why Colombia can win: Colombia have home-match advantage and the support of their crowd.
Why Ghana can win (or draw): Ghana can be dangerous opponents regardless of form. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Colombia the slim favorite at 55.0% win probability (draw not modeled). Ghana are given a 45.0% chance. Low confidence — the match looks very open. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.