Ivory Coast vs Curaçao — FIFA World Cup 2026, 4:00 PM ET on FS1 / Universo / FOX One. Our model makes Ivory Coast the favorite at 65.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Ivory Coast (1-0-1) faces Curaçao (0-1-1) in a FIFA World Cup 2026 match at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Kickoff starts at 4:00 PM ET on FS1 / Universo / FOX One. Our model gives CUW a 35.0% win probability and CIV a 65.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. The model favors one side clearly, though any match can finish level.
Why Curaçao can win: Curaçao are 0-1-1 but home matches offer additional motivation.
Why Ivory Coast can win (or draw): Ivory Coast come in as one of the stronger sides at 1-0-1. the model notes: cuw 0-1-1 vs civ 1-0-1. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Ivory Coast the clear favorite at 65.0% win probability (draw not modeled). Curaçao are given a 35.0% chance. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.