Senegal vs Belgium — FIFA World Cup 2026, 4:00 PM ET on FS1 / Tele / FOX One. Our model makes Belgium the favorite at 55.0%, leaning on home advantage. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Last updated Jul 1, 4:26 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.
Senegal faces Belgium in a FIFA World Cup 2026 match at Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington. Kickoff starts at 4:00 PM ET on FS1 / Tele / FOX One. Our model gives BEL a 55.0% win probability and SEN a 45.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. This looks like a tight contest on paper.
Why Belgium can win: Belgium have home-match advantage and the support of their crowd.
Why Senegal can win (or draw): Senegal can be dangerous opponents regardless of form. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Belgium the slim favorite at 55.0% win probability (draw not modeled). Senegal are given a 45.0% chance. Low confidence — the match looks very open. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.
