MLB
Start
4:10 PM ET
Jul 18, 2026
Venue
Chase Field (NH)
Hanover, New Hampshire
Broadcast
MLB.TV
Win probability
ARI 54.0%
STL 46.0%
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Cardinals at Diamondbacks MLB, 4:10 PM ET on MLB.TV. Our model makes Diamondbacks the favorite at 54.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 18, 6:05 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
ARISTL
8H2
5R0
0SV0
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

St. Louis Cardinals (51-45) travel to face Arizona Diamondbacks (49-48) in a MLB game at Chase Field (NH), Hanover, New Hampshire. ARI first pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on MLB.TV. Our model gives ARI a 54.0% chance to win and STL a 46.0% chance. This is a toss-up — neither side holds a meaningful edge.

Why Arizona Diamondbacks can win: Diamondbacks bring a respectable 49-48 record into this game. Home teams win roughly 54% of MLB games.

Why St. Louis Cardinals can win: Cardinals are a .500-or-better team at 51-45 and capable of winning on the road. The model notes: ari 49-48 vs stl 51-45. Cardinals hold a 3–2 head-to-head advantage in recent matchups.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Arizona Diamondbacks the slim favorite with a 54.0% win probability. Cardinals are given a 46.0% chance to pull the upset. Low confidence — this projects close and either team could win. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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