MLB
Start
8:08 PM ET
Jul 18, 2026
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Bronx, New York
Broadcast
MLB.TV / FOX
Win probability
NYY 50.8%
LAD 49.2%
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Dodgers at Yankees MLB, 8:08 PM ET on MLB.TV / FOX. Our model makes Yankees the favorite at 50.8%, leaning on betting market. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 18, 4:21 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
NYYLAD
761H859
463R508
23SV26
Key storylines
ESPN: Yankees host Los Angeles Dodgers, look to end home losing streak
Los Angeles Dodgers (62-36, first in the NL West) vs. New York Yankees (54-43, second in the AL East)
Betting line: NYY -113 · O/U 9
Matchup analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers (62-36) travel to face New York Yankees (54-43) in a MLB game at Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York. NYY first pitch is at 8:08 PM ET on MLB.TV / FOX. Our model gives NYY a 50.8% chance to win and LAD a 49.2% chance. This is a toss-up — neither side holds a meaningful edge.

Why New York Yankees can win: Yankees bring a respectable 54-43 record into this game. Sportsbook moneylines (-113 / -106) imply 51% for NYY, giving them a statistical edge. Home teams win roughly 54% of MLB games.

Why Los Angeles Dodgers can win: Dodgers are one of the better teams in the league this season at 62-36. Dodgers hold a 1–0 head-to-head advantage in recent matchups.

Betting context: Sportsbook moneylines (-113 / -106) imply 51% for NYY. The current point spread is NYY -113. Betting market information is provided for context only — this is not betting advice. Always wager responsibly and only where legal..

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes New York Yankees the slim favorite with a 50.8% win probability. Dodgers are given a 49.2% chance to pull the upset. Low confidence — this projects close and either team could win. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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