MLS
Start
9:30 PM ET
Aug 1, 2026
Venue
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Commerce City, Colorado
Broadcast
Apple TV
Win probability
COL 70.0%
ATX 30.0%
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Austin at Colorado MLS, 9:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model makes Colorado the favorite at 70.0%, leaning on betting market. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 28, 1:08 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Betting line: COL -140 · O/U 2.5
Matchup analysis

Austin FC (4-5-8) faces Colorado Rapids (6-1-10) in a MLS match at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado. Kickoff starts at 9:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model gives COL a 70.0% win probability and ATX a 30.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. The model favors one side clearly, though any match can finish level.

Why Colorado Rapids can win: Colorado carry an impressive record of 6-1-10 into this match. Sportsbook moneylines (-140 / +300) imply 70% for COL.

Why Austin FC can win (or draw): Austin are 4-5-8 but away sides often play with freedom. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.

Betting context: Sportsbook moneylines (-140 / +300) imply 70% for COL. Sportsbooks price three outcomes (home win, draw, away win) — this model only estimates two-outcome probability. Betting market information is provided for context only — not betting advice.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Colorado Rapids the clear favorite at 70.0% win probability (draw not modeled). Austin are given a 30.0% chance. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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