MLS
Start
8:30 PM ET
Aug 1, 2026
Venue
Soldier Field
Chicago, Illinois
Broadcast
Apple TV
Win probability
CHI 77.2%
CLT 22.8%
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Charlotte at Chicago MLS, 8:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model makes Chicago the favorite at 77.2%, leaning on betting market. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 28, 1:08 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Betting line: CHI -210 · O/U 3.5
Matchup analysis

Charlotte FC (7-4-6) faces Chicago Fire FC (8-2-6) in a MLS match at Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois. Kickoff starts at 8:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model gives CHI a 77.2% win probability and CLT a 22.8% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. The model favors one side clearly, though any match can finish level.

Why Chicago Fire FC can win: Chicago carry an impressive record of 8-2-6 into this match. Sportsbook moneylines (-210 / +400) imply 77% for CHI.

Why Charlotte FC can win (or draw): Charlotte come in as one of the stronger sides at 7-4-6. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.

Betting context: Sportsbook moneylines (-210 / +400) imply 77% for CHI. Sportsbooks price three outcomes (home win, draw, away win) — this model only estimates two-outcome probability. Betting market information is provided for context only — not betting advice.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Chicago Fire FC the clear favorite at 77.2% win probability (draw not modeled). Charlotte are given a 22.8% chance. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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