A. Rakic vs M. Tybura — UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez · Heavyweight, 10:00 AM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes M. Tybura the favorite at 50.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Last updated Jul 28, 1:11 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.
Aleksandar Rakic meets Marcin Tybura in a UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez · Heavyweight bout at Belgrade Arena, Belgrade. The contest gets underway at 10:00 AM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives M. a 50.0% win probability and A. a 50.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.
Why Marcin Tybura can win: M. Tybura carries a 27-11-0 record into this fight.
Why Aleksandar Rakic can win: A. Rakic enters at 14-6-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Marcin Tybura the slim model favorite at 50.0% win probability. A. Rakic are given a 50.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.