CF Montréal at Nashville — MLS, 8:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model makes Nashville the favorite at 80.8%, leaning on betting market. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Last updated Jul 18, 9:18 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.
CF Montréal (4-2-8) faces Nashville SC (10-3-1) in a MLS match at GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee. Kickoff starts at 8:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model gives NSH a 80.8% win probability and MTL a 19.2% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. The model favors one side clearly, though any match can finish level.
Why Nashville SC can win: Nashville carry an impressive record of 10-3-1 into this match. Sportsbook moneylines (-235 / +500) imply 81% for NSH.
Why CF Montréal can win (or draw): CF Montréal come in as one of the stronger sides at 4-2-8. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.
Betting context: Sportsbook moneylines (-235 / +500) imply 81% for NSH. Sportsbooks price three outcomes (home win, draw, away win) — this model only estimates two-outcome probability. Betting market information is provided for context only — not betting advice.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Nashville SC the clear favorite at 80.8% win probability (draw not modeled). CF Montréal are given a 19.2% chance. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.
