MLS
Start
10:30 PM ET
Jul 25, 2026
Venue
Stanford Stadium
Stanford, California
Broadcast
Apple TV
Win probability
SJ 66.0%
LA 34.0%
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LA Galaxy at San Jose MLS, 10:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model makes San Jose the favorite at 66.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 18, 11:51 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

LA Galaxy (5-5-5) faces San Jose Earthquakes (10-2-3) in a MLS match at Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California. Kickoff starts at 10:30 PM ET on Apple TV. Our model gives SJ a 66.0% win probability and LA a 34.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. The model favors one side clearly, though any match can finish level.

Why San Jose Earthquakes can win: San Jose carry an impressive record of 10-2-3 into this match. SJ 10-2-3 vs LA 5-5-5.

Why LA Galaxy can win (or draw): LA Galaxy are in solid form at 5-5-5. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes San Jose Earthquakes the clear favorite at 66.0% win probability (draw not modeled). LA Galaxy are given a 34.0% chance. The model has high confidence in this call. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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