MLS
Start
9:30 PM ET
Jul 25, 2026
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego, California
Broadcast
FS1 / Apple TV
Win probability
SD 50.0%
DAL 50.0%
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Dallas at San Diego MLS, 9:30 PM ET on FS1 / Apple TV. Our model makes San Diego the favorite at 50.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 18, 2:11 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

FC Dallas (7-4-4) faces San Diego FC (4-5-6) in a MLS match at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California. Kickoff starts at 9:30 PM ET on FS1 / Apple TV. Our model gives SD a 50.0% win probability and DAL a 50.0% chance. Note: this model estimates win/loss probability only — draw probability in soccer is not separately modeled. Real-world draw odds from sportsbooks will differ. This looks like a tight contest on paper.

Why San Diego FC can win: San Diego are 4-5-6 but home matches offer additional motivation.

Why FC Dallas can win (or draw): Dallas come in as one of the stronger sides at 7-4-4. the model notes: sd 4-5-6 vs dal 7-4-4. Dallas have the edge in recent meetings at 1–0. a draw is always possible in football and would deny both sides a win.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes San Diego FC the slim favorite at 50.0% win probability (draw not modeled). Dallas are given a 50.0% chance. Low confidence — the match looks very open. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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