UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Heavyweight
R.
RJ Harris
5-0-0
VS
A.
Alvin Hines
7-1-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 18, 2026
Venue
Paycom Center
Oklahoma City, OK
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
A. 45.0%
R. 55.0%
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R. Harris vs A. Hines UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Heavyweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes R. Harris the favorite at 55.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 14, 11:09 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

RJ Harris meets Alvin Hines in a UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Heavyweight bout at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives A. a 45.0% win probability and R. a 55.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Alvin Hines can win: A. Hines carries a 7-1-0 record into this fight.

Why RJ Harris can win: R. Harris enters at 5-0-0. The model notes: a. 7-1-0 vs r. 5-0-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes RJ Harris the slim model favorite at 55.0% win probability. A. Hines are given a 45.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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