UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Featherweight
E.
Ezra Elliott
7-0-0
VS
D.
Damien Anderson
5-0-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 18, 2026
Venue
Paycom Center
Oklahoma City, OK
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
D. 50.0%
E. 50.0%
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E. Elliott vs D. Anderson UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Featherweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes D. Anderson the favorite at 50.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Last updated Jul 16, 2:40 PM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data, which may be delayed. Informational only — not betting advice.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Ezra Elliott meets Damien Anderson in a UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Featherweight bout at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives D. a 50.0% win probability and E. a 50.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Damien Anderson can win: D. Anderson carries a 5-0-0 record into this fight.

Why Ezra Elliott can win: E. Elliott enters at 7-0-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Damien Anderson the slim model favorite at 50.0% win probability. E. Elliott are given a 50.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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