UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight
A.
Adrian Yanez
17-6-1
VS
C.
Cody Garbrandt
15-7-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
C. 48.0%
A. 52.0%
SHARE

A. Yanez vs C. Garbrandt UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes A. Yanez the favorite at 52.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Adrian Yanez meets Cody Garbrandt in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives C. a 48.0% win probability and A. a 52.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Cody Garbrandt can win: C. Garbrandt carries a 15-7-0 record into this fight.

Why Adrian Yanez can win: A. Yanez enters at 17-6-1. The model notes: c. 15-7-0 vs a. 17-6-1. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Adrian Yanez the slim model favorite at 52.0% win probability. C. Garbrandt are given a 48.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

More matchups today
UFCUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · FlyweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
C.
C. Durden
vs
O. Osbourne
O.
T-Mobile ArenaParamount+C. 53%
UFCUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · MiddleweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
R.
R. Gandra
vs
Z. Reese
Z.
T-Mobile ArenaParamount+R. 55%
UFCUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · BantamweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
F.
F. Basharat
vs
E. Ewing
E.
T-Mobile ArenaParamount+F. 57%
UFCUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · MiddleweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
D.
D. Pinas
vs
C. Almeida
C.
T-Mobile ArenaParamount+D. 55%
All UFC games →