UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · W Flyweight
T.
Tracy Cortez
12-3-0
VS
W.
Wang Cong
9-1-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
W. 54.0%
T. 46.0%
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T. Cortez vs W. Cong UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · W Flyweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes W. Cong the favorite at 54.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Tracy Cortez meets Wang Cong in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · W Flyweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives W. a 54.0% win probability and T. a 46.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Wang Cong can win: W. Cong carries a 9-1-0 record into this fight. W. 9-1-0 vs T. 12-3-0 gives them a statistical lean.

Why Tracy Cortez can win: T. Cortez enters at 12-3-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Wang Cong the slim model favorite at 54.0% win probability. T. Cortez are given a 46.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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