M. Bautista vs C. Sandhagen — UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes M. Bautista the favorite at 54.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Mario Bautista meets Cory Sandhagen in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives C. a 46.0% win probability and M. a 54.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.
Why Cory Sandhagen can win: C. Sandhagen carries a 18-6-0 record into this fight.
Why Mario Bautista can win: M. Bautista enters at 17-3-0. The model notes: c. 18-6-0 vs m. 17-3-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Mario Bautista the slim model favorite at 54.0% win probability. C. Sandhagen are given a 46.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.