E. Ellison vs G. Steveson — UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Heavyweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes G. Steveson the favorite at 61.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Elisha Ellison meets Gable Steveson in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Heavyweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives G. a 61.0% win probability and E. a 39.0% chance. The model sees a slight edge, but MMA is volatile and upsets are frequent.
Why Gable Steveson can win: G. Steveson carries a 3-0-0 record into this fight. G. 3-0-0 vs E. 5-2-0 gives them a statistical lean.
Why Elisha Ellison can win: E. Ellison enters at 5-2-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Gable Steveson the moderate model favorite at 61.0% win probability. E. Ellison are given a 39.0% chance. Medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a certainty. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.