UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Light Heavyweight
N.
Nikita Krylov
31-11-0
VS
R.
Robert Whittaker
27-9-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
R. 50.0%
N. 50.0%
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N. Krylov vs R. Whittaker UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Light Heavyweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes R. Whittaker the favorite at 50.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Nikita Krylov meets Robert Whittaker in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Light Heavyweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives R. a 50.0% win probability and N. a 50.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Robert Whittaker can win: R. Whittaker carries a 27-9-0 record into this fight.

Why Nikita Krylov can win: N. Krylov enters at 31-11-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Robert Whittaker the slim model favorite at 50.0% win probability. N. Krylov are given a 50.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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