B. Saint Denis vs P. Pimblett — UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Lightweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes P. Pimblett the favorite at 50.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.
Benoît Saint Denis meets Paddy Pimblett in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Lightweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives P. a 50.0% win probability and B. a 50.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.
Why Paddy Pimblett can win: P. Pimblett carries a 23-4-0 record into this fight.
Why Benoît Saint Denis can win: B. Saint Denis enters at 17-3-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.
Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Paddy Pimblett the slim model favorite at 50.0% win probability. B. Saint Denis are given a 50.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.