UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Middleweight
R.
Ryan Gandra
9-1-0
VS
Z.
Zachary Reese
10-3-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
Z. 45.0%
R. 55.0%
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R. Gandra vs Z. Reese UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Middleweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes R. Gandra the favorite at 55.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Ryan Gandra meets Zachary Reese in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Middleweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives Z. a 45.0% win probability and R. a 55.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why Zachary Reese can win: Z. Reese carries a 10-3-0 record into this fight.

Why Ryan Gandra can win: R. Gandra enters at 9-1-0. The model notes: z. 10-3-0 vs r. 9-1-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Ryan Gandra the slim model favorite at 55.0% win probability. Z. Reese are given a 45.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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