UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight
F.
Farid Basharat
15-0-0
VS
E.
Ethyn Ewing
10-2-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
E. 43.0%
F. 57.0%
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F. Basharat vs E. Ewing UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes F. Basharat the favorite at 57.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Farid Basharat meets Ethyn Ewing in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Bantamweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives E. a 43.0% win probability and F. a 57.0% chance. The model sees a slight edge, but MMA is volatile and upsets are frequent.

Why Ethyn Ewing can win: E. Ewing carries a 10-2-0 record into this fight.

Why Farid Basharat can win: F. Basharat enters at 15-0-0. The model notes: e. 10-2-0 vs f. 15-0-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Farid Basharat the moderate model favorite at 57.0% win probability. E. Ewing are given a 43.0% chance. Medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a certainty. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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