UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Lightweight
T.
Terrance McKinney
18-8-0
VS
K.
King Green
35-17-1
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
K. 49.0%
T. 51.0%
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T. McKinney vs K. Green UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Lightweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes T. McKinney the favorite at 51.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Terrance McKinney meets King Green in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Lightweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives K. a 49.0% win probability and T. a 51.0% chance. This is a razor-thin matchup — model confidence is low and either fighter can win.

Why King Green can win: K. Green carries a 35-17-1 record into this fight.

Why Terrance McKinney can win: T. McKinney enters at 18-8-0. The model notes: k. 35-17-1 vs t. 18-8-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Terrance McKinney the slim model favorite at 51.0% win probability. K. Green are given a 49.0% chance. Low confidence — this is a close fight by the model's inputs. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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