UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Flyweight
L.
Lone'er Kavanagh
10-1-0
VS
B.
Brandon Royval
17-9-0
Start
5:00 PM ET
Jul 11, 2026
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast
Paramount+
Win probability
B. 40.0%
L. 60.0%
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L. Kavanagh vs B. Royval UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Flyweight, 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model makes L. Kavanagh the favorite at 60.0%, leaning on season records. Full reasoning in the Prediction tab.

Matchup snapshot
Key storylines
Matchup analysis

Lone'er Kavanagh meets Brandon Royval in a UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Flyweight bout at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. The contest gets underway at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Our model currently gives B. a 40.0% win probability and L. a 60.0% chance. The model sees a slight edge, but MMA is volatile and upsets are frequent.

Why Brandon Royval can win: B. Royval carries a 17-9-0 record into this fight.

Why Lone'er Kavanagh can win: L. Kavanagh enters at 10-1-0. The model notes: b. 17-9-0 vs l. 10-1-0. MMA finishes can come from anywhere — style mismatches often override record-based models.

Prediction summary: MatchupLens makes Lone'er Kavanagh the moderate model favorite at 60.0% win probability. B. Royval are given a 40.0% chance. Medium confidence — treat this as a lean, not a certainty. Predictions are editorial analysis for entertainment only — not betting advice.

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