UFC Predictions — Today

Every UFC game todaywith our model’s lean, win probability, and confidence. Tap any game for the full breakdown.

Last updated Jul 1, 6:11 AM ET · Estimated win probability based on available data. Informational only — not betting advice.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · FlyweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
A.
A. Costa
vs
C. Durden
C.
Model lean: A. Costa 55%Low confidence

A. Costa is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · MiddleweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
R.
R. Gandra
vs
Z. Reese
Z.
Model lean: R. Gandra 55%Low confidence

R. Gandra is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · BantamweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
F.
F. Basharat
vs
E. Ewing
E.
Model lean: F. Basharat 57%Medium confidence

F. Basharat is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · MiddleweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
D.
D. Pinas
vs
C. Almeida
C.
Model lean: D. Pinas 55%Low confidence

D. Pinas is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · W FlyweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
T.
T. Cortez
vs
W. Cong
W.
Model lean: W. Cong 54%Low confidence

W. Cong is favored at home, but this projects close — treat it as a lean, not a certainty.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · FeatherweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
L.
L. Riley
vs
K. Kamaka III
K.
Model lean: L. Riley 62%Medium confidence

L. Riley is favored despite the matchup context.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · BantamweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
A.
A. Yanez
vs
C. Garbrandt
C.
Model lean: A. Yanez 52%Low confidence

A. Yanez is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · HeavyweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
E.
E. Ellison
vs
G. Steveson
G.
Model lean: G. Steveson 61%Medium confidence

G. Steveson is favored at home.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Light HeavyweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
N.
N. Krylov
vs
R. Whittaker
R.
Model lean: R. Whittaker 50%Low confidence

R. Whittaker is favored at home, but this projects close — treat it as a lean, not a certainty.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · LightweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
T.
T. McKinney
vs
K. Green
K.
Model lean: T. McKinney 51%Low confidence

T. McKinney is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · FlyweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
L.
L. Kavanagh
vs
B. Royval
B.
Model lean: L. Kavanagh 60%Medium confidence

L. Kavanagh is favored despite the matchup context.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · BantamweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
M.
M. Bautista
vs
C. Sandhagen
C.
Model lean: M. Bautista 54%Low confidence

M. Bautista is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · LightweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
B.
B. Saint Denis
vs
P. Pimblett
P.
Model lean: P. Pimblett 50%Low confidence

P. Pimblett is favored at home, but this projects close — treat it as a lean, not a certainty.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · WelterweightJul 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET
C.
C. McGregor
vs
M. Holloway
M.
Model lean: C. McGregor 51%Low confidence

C. McGregor is favored despite the matchup context — a narrow edge.

How the model works: methodology · accuracy tracker.